Lets continue with the data from the example above and see how much it would cost to mine 0.125 non-KYC bitcoin at home with my setup. We already saw that non-KYC can be less expensive than KYC bitcoin, but can mining at home for non-KYC bitcoin be even less expensive than that?
The screenshot of my Slush Pool dashboard above was taken after running my Whatsminer for 4 days 17 hours. The unconfirmed rewards are as good as mine, but technically there needs to be a certain number of block confirmations before they are confirmed as mine. I am going to include them in my total mining rewards for the 4 days 17 hours my miner has been active. The 2% pool fee is already subtracted from my rewards, so what I see is what I get.
Let's unpack this information:
Now that the amount of time has been calculated, the cost to mine can be calculated since my electrical costs and miner consumption are known.
Bob spent $1,425.43 more than me, or a 60% premium for 0.125 BTC.
Bob got his BTC all at once where it took me 7 months 3 weeks, so urgency may have it's price.
Let's look at return on investment (ROI) since my Whatsminer wasn't free. I paid $2,850 USD for my Whatsminer. The hardware market is constantly changing and it will take some patience and obsessive observation of the Telegram channels to find what you are looking for. ASIC manufacturer supply delays coupled with the Bitcoin bull market have created a market where there is more interest in mining than there is mining hardware available. It is natural that in these conditions the ASIC prices will rise.
Calculating ROI is a moving target, especially when throwing the USD conversion in the mix because the USD/Bitcoin index is volatile and so is the Bitcoin network hash rate. As the USD price for BTC rises my ROI time period is shortened. But as network hashrate rises my mining rewards will diminish. Since I'm paying my electric bill in USD, this is a necessary consideration.
The chart below shows the over all network hashrate, it can be volatile but in general it is only headed in one direction. As the network hashrate grows, the static contribution from my ASIC becomes a smaller percentage of that total hashrate and thus on average my rewards become smaller as well.
I could just take a snap shot of today's market conditions and speculate:
My math is rough at best. Slush Pool is estimating my daily rewards to be 0.00053816 BTC per day. Plugging that number into the above logic reduces my ROI from profits to 435 days. But it's important to realize that concurrently with generating these profits I will be DCA'ing ~$300/mo into non-KYC bitcoin.
This exercise can be exhausting since it is based on several changing variables. Another way to think of it is that it would take me 1,855 days to mine 1 BTC with today's network hashrate. At $9.79 per day in electrical costs, that means that so long as BTC is trading above $18,160.45 then I should remain profitable.
Another way to think of it is that if I had bought BTC instead of the Whatsminer at the beginning of December, I would have 0.15355603 BTC since it closed at $18,560 that day. With BTC trading at $30,350 today, that means 0.00019341 BTC of my daily rewards are profit. It would take 794 days ROI in these market conditions.
Here are a few mining calculators, try these out to get an idea for whether or not home mining may work for you:
CryptoCompare Mining Calculator
What To Mine Mining Calculator
At the time of writing, my electrical utility provider has just installed a peak-demand meter per my request. The impact this has on my electric bill is yet to be seen as it was just installed and the new charges have not been billed out yet. However, with my standard meter I was being charged $0.12/kWh which I figured by taking my total billed electricity divided by the number of kW hours consumed.
With the peak-demand meter, I should be charged $0.11078 per kWh from 14:00 until 18:00. Then from 18:01 until 13:59 I should be charged somewhere between $0.05539 per kWh and $0.08309 per kWh. But I won't know the exact rates until my next bill. But what this means is that the cost to operate my ASIC should look like these examples showing a couple different Watt consumption rates to give a range:
Old Meter Rate of $0.12/kWh @ 3,600W = $10.37
Peak-Demand Scenario 1 @ 3,600W = $5.58
If I get the kind of cost savings I am anticipating, it could potentially reduce my ROI time period to as little as 258 days. So I will be monitoring the changes in my electric bill that the new meter has. If mining hardware costs continue to rise, don't jump to the conclusion that you are being priced out of the market. Try to make careful considerations about your situation, your long term goals and how KYC effects that. You may just find that home mining for non-KYC bitcoin may have a high initial cost but it could save you in many other ways down the road.
I hope this section brought you some clarity about the operating costs and the rewards involved with home mining for non-KYC bitcoin. I tried to highlight the importance of non-KYC and the things a person stands to lose when they opt for the KYC option. As well as making the case for KYC being more expensive than non-KYC and home mining being the most economical of all the options in addition to the safest and most privacy preserving option.